Trump Repeats Inflation Victory Claims as Cost of Living Stays High

GeokHub

GeokHub

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WASHINGTON — Feb 7 (GeokHub) - President Donald Trump has repeatedly declared victory over inflation in recent economic speeches, even as many Americans say the cost of living remains a daily struggle and key prices continue to rise.

A review of five major economic addresses delivered since December shows Trump asserting that inflation has been “beaten” or is “way down” nearly 20 times, while also claiming prices are falling on dozens of occasions. Those statements contrast with economic data showing inflation hovering near 3% over the past year and persistent increases in everyday expenses such as food and groceries.

While inflation has slowed from earlier highs, price levels remain elevated. Since Trump returned to office a year ago, staples like ground beef and coffee have climbed sharply, contributing to continued frustration among households already stretched by high housing and utility costs.

Much of Trump’s speaking time has also been spent away from economic messaging. In several appearances, he shifted repeatedly to unrelated topics including immigration, foreign policy disputes, media criticism, and attacks on political opponents. Analysts say the frequent detours risk diluting his core argument that his policies have stabilized household finances.

Republican strategists privately warn that the mixed messaging could undermine credibility ahead of the November midterm elections, when control of Congress is at stake. Public polling shows voter dissatisfaction with the president’s economic performance remains high, despite modest improvement since late last year.

Some within the White House argue the administration must more directly address affordability concerns through local outreach and clearer messaging. Officials say Trump’s focus on immigration is tied to his broader economic narrative, arguing that border enforcement affects wages, housing availability, and public services.

Prices vs. Perception

Economists note that a lower inflation rate does not mean prices are falling — only that they are rising more slowly. Over the past year, food costs have continued to climb faster than wages, while unemployment has edged higher compared to when Trump took office.

Trump has acknowledged limited price relief in areas such as gasoline and eggs, which have declined after earlier spikes. However, the overall cost of a typical grocery basket has continued to rise, reinforcing public skepticism toward claims that inflation is no longer a problem.

Policy Proposals and Limits

The president has pointed to recently enacted tax cuts as a key solution, along with proposals to eliminate taxes on tips and overtime pay, cap credit card interest rates, lower mortgage costs, and reduce prescription drug prices.

Most economists expect the tax cuts to provide some relief later this year, but caution that several of Trump’s newer proposals are unlikely to significantly reduce household expenses before the midterm elections. Some warn that aggressive interest-rate caps could restrict credit access for lower-income consumers.

Political Risk Ahead

Former economic officials say Trump risks repeating mistakes made by his predecessor, who emphasized strong economic indicators while failing to acknowledge voter frustration over rising prices. Analysts stress that empathy — not just statistics — is critical in an election year shaped by affordability concerns.

While approval of Trump’s economic handling has ticked up slightly in recent months, it remains well below levels seen at the start of his term, underscoring the challenge ahead as inflation remains both an economic and political pressure point.

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